Category Archives: Culture

The Death of Logic

 

Question of the Day:  Is the media’s focus on “a war on truth” misdirected?

There are two kinds of horror movies.  To prove this point, I will stick to films based on Stephan King novels.  At one end of the spectrum are stories, while gory, are not the source of nightmares.  For example, to believe in aliens disguised as clowns who pull unsuspecting children into sewers (“It”) or lonely high school students with telekinetic powers (“Carrie”) is not a matter of fact or fiction.  In contrast, the King tales that give me the willies are those that could be ripped from the front pages of any hometown newspaper.  Where a rabid dog (“Cujo”) turns on his master and his extended family or the obsessed fan of a series of romance novels seeks revenge when the author decides to hang up his keyboard (“Misery”).

Cujo (1983) - FILMGAZMThe difference?  To enjoy the cinematic treatment of the supernatural requires something other than evidence of its possibility.  Instead, all one needs is to suspend logic.  On the other hand, identifying with a mother trapped in a VW Beetle, trying to protect her son from a foaming at the mouth St. Bernard, is not predicated on a moratorium on common sense.  Anyone with a limbic system, the part of the brain that processes emotion, knows creatures and people like Cujo (portrayed by four St. Bernards, a black Labrador-Great Dane mix in a St. Bernard costume and stuntman Gary Morgan) and Annie Wilkes (Kathy Bates) exist in our world.

Which brings me to 2021 and media reports about the “war on truth” and how it might be won.  How do you get the 75 percent of the Republican Party who believe Joe Biden stole the election to accept he won fair and square?  Certainly not by reminding them 64 judges, six state legislatures and numerous governors and election officials tell them there is no basis for denying the obvious.   That’s now been done for over two months.  Perhaps it is not the facts themselves the non-believers cling to, but their suspension of logic that makes their acceptance of a Trump defeat so unbelievable.

Let’s look at a more logical explanation of an election where the challenger wins by more than seven million votes and more Americans cast ballots than any time in the nation’s history.  Logic, as well as presidential history, tells us NO chief executive with the following portfolio should expect to be re-elected.

  • Never had an approval rating over 50 percent.
  • Insulted ethnic groups which are an ever growing percentage of the electorate.
  • Was constantly outed as self-absorbed and incompetent by his own inner circle.
  • Separated thousands of young children from their parents.
  • Violated constitutional and legal norms to further his hold on power.
  • Lied to the nation about the worse health and economic crisis in over 100 years.

To believe in any other outcome requires a suspension of logic equivalent to that needed to accept a Native-American burial ground turned pet cemetery can reanimate a child tragically killed on a rural Maine highway.

Download PDF Dr. Spock s Baby and Child Care Full Online by Benjamin Spock - 873rgsw2eswfewfewfThe same is true of the record turnout.  Any parent has experienced the consequences of trying to modify behavior by telling a child they cannot do something.  That is Dr. Spock 101.  So, when GOP officials in several states did everything they could to discourage voters they knew would vote against Trump’s re-election, the response was as logical as a three year old drawing on a wall despite exhortations to the contrary.  How dare you tell me what I cannot do!  I’ll show you!  And show us they did.  Eighty-one million of them.

America has a choice.  It can fight every political and cultural battle one fact at a time.  Or it can encourage a return to logic, where all facts are viewed in the context of a more rationale backdrop.  And like charity, logic begins at home.  Consider the following.  Instead of trying to convince COVID-19 deniers to mask up by pointing to the growing number of cases, hospitalizations or deaths, ask them what they would do if a member of their own family was susceptible to a potentially fatal disease.  And their family physician tells them there are three or four things they could do to make a negative outcome less likely.  They inherently know what they would do.  Perhaps then you can have the conversation, not about 335 million Americans, but the 128.5 households, just like theirs, that are all having to make the same choice.

Bottom line?  If you want agreement on the facts, it is necessary to first get people to subscribe to the logical context and assumptions which can make the facts easier to accept regardless of one’s partisan or ideological prism.  It is the pending “death of logic,” not the “war on facts” that makes that task so much more difficult.

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP

 

Russia, Russia, Russia

 

Among the issues that divide Democrats and Republicans is their attitude toward Russia and Vladimir Putin.  A February 2020 survey by Pew Research approached the question from several angles and found:

  • 82 percent of Democrats expected Russian interference in the 2020 election compared to 39 percent of Republicans.
  • 31 percent of Republicans trust Putin to do the right thing when it comes to world affairs as opposed to 10 percent of Democrats.
  • There is a 30 percentage point difference between Democrats (65%) and Republicans (35%) when asked if “Russian power and influence posed a major threat to the well-being of the United States.”

Since the residents of MAGA world have such an affinity for Russian and Putin, perhaps we should encourage them to look to Russia as a model which explains the current state of their movement.  I will use two examples.  One from personal experience during a trip to Moscow in November 1994.  The other extracted from this weekend’s headlines.

My trip to Moscow, as a representative of the National Governors Association, was in support of the U.S. State Department’s efforts to promote government decentralization by aiding the creation of a Russian counterpart made up of the governors of Russian oblasts, the regional geopolitical entities most analogous to U.S. states.  To understand the challenges these Russian officials might face, I participated in a seminar sponsored by the commercial attaché assigned to the U.S. embassy.  Also, attending were several graduate students from Moscow University, many who pursued careers in engineering.

Among the topics covered were the students’ career expectations pre- and post-dissolution of the former Soviet Union accompanied by government reforms.  I quickly learned any transformation from “cradle to grave” dependence on central planning would not be easy.  This was best captured when one student was asked, “What do you think you will do when you graduate?”  His reply?  “We have to wait until the government tells us what needs to be done.”

I was reminded of my Moscow experience when I saw the following headline on January 20th on POLITICO.COM.  “Trump leaves QAnon and the online MAGA world crushed and confused.”  Was Joe Biden taking the oath of office any different from December 25, 1991 when, as reported by the U.S. Office of the Historian (who knew there was such an office):

On December 25, 1991, the Soviet hammer and sickle flag lowered for the last time over the Kremlin, thereafter replaced by the Russian tricolor. Earlier in the day, Mikhail Gorbachev resigned his post as president of the Soviet Union, leaving Boris Yeltsin as president of the newly independent Russian state.

While it is easy to imagine Trump followers waiting for someone to tell them what needs to be done next, the Russian example is also a cautionary tale about ignoring their sense of loss and lack of direction going forward.  Even if Trump is gone, his supporters will look for a new leader as did the Russian people, culminating in Putin’s rise to power.

Kremlin Critic Alexei Navalny Faces Arrest As Flies Back To RussiaWhich brings me to the second instance in which Russia can be instructive, in this case, for Republicans who want to take back their party from the Trump insurgency.   They need only draw on efforts by Russian opposition leader Aleksei Navalny to expose Putin’s corruption and abuse of power.  The difference between the situation in Russia and the GOP is the emergence of a champion who is willing to speak truth to power.  Or as the NRA president Wayne LaPierre might say, “The only thing that can stop a movement with a bad leader is a movement with a good leader.”

That responsibility cannot fall to a “never Trumper.”  It has to be someone who has been part of MAGA world.  Someone like Navalny, who believed the Russian people were more interested in the truth than sound bites as evidenced by the two-hour video in which he laid out, point by point, the harm Putin has inflicted on the Russian population.  Someone like Navalny, who knew he would face persecution upon returning to his homeland.

In Arizona, Trump's false claims have torn open a GOP riftMy nominee is Arizona governor Douglas A. Ducey, Jr.  Though Ducey has neither been poisoned or jailed for refusing to join Trump’s conspiracy to overture the 2020 election, he is now a persona non grata within the GOP, having been censured by the Arizona Republican Party.  Up until November 3rd, Ducey had been a fervent Trump supporter, campaigned with him and even accompanied him to “the wall.”

Just imagine if Ducey pulled a Navalny and produced a video in which he offered a mea culpa.  If he told MAGA world he too had high hopes for the Trump administration, but now realizes he was duped.  And lays out each instance of Trump’s corruption and abuse of power over the last four years, and admits he too wore blinders that limited his ability to recognize the danger that culminated with the attack on the U.S. Capitol on January 6th.

I know some of you will say hard core Trump cultists will not be easily convinced.  And you may be right.  But what if you are wrong.  New York Times reporters Anton Troianovski and Andrew Higgins were surprised how quickly support for Navalny spread across Russia’s 11 time zones.

The demonstrations did not immediately pose a dire threat to President Vladimir V. Putin’s grip on power. But their broad scope, and the remarkable defiance displayed by many of the protesters, signaled widespread fatigue with the stagnant, corruption-plagued political order that Mr. Putin has presided over for two decades.

If you believe Joe Biden’s current 69 percent approval rating is less due to his executive orders or policy proposals and more to the contrast with four years of Trump fatigue, maybe the situations are not as different as one might think.  And now is the best opportunity to wrestle Trump’s grip on the GOP from his cold, small hands.  (Sorry, the NRA is just too ripe for parody.)

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP

 

MY v. THE

 

It only took two days.  Republicans are already making the moral equivalency argument they are just following Democratic precedent when they say, “Joe Biden is not MY president.  Isn’t that what all you 2016 deniers said about Donald Trump?”  They are half right.  I was proud to say Trump was not MY president.  Primarily because I was not responsible for his becoming the chief executive of the United States.  But more importantly, for more reasons  than I choose not to re-litigate here, I never want anyone, anywhere, anytime to explicitly or implicitly  think I would possibly associate with such an indecent, un-American individual regardless of their station in life.

But here is the difference these one-conspiracy-fits-all advocates miss.  I NEVER said, “Donald Trump is not THE president.”  You do not support impeachment and conviction of someone who is not THE president.  You do not wonder if Mike Pence has enough backbone to save the nation he swears he loves by invoking the 25th Amendment for anyone other than THE president.  You do not spend six months doing everything you can to deny someone a SECOND term unless they are THE president for four years.

I can only surmise Ted Cruz, Josh Hawley, Kevin McCarthy and 146 other GOP members of Congress never watched the Sesame Street segment, “Which one of these is not like the others.”

  • Impeachment
  • 25th Amendment
  • Presidential Elections
  • Storming the United States Capitol

Ooh! Ooh!  I KNOW!  The first three are in the Constitution.  The fourth is only grounded in statute, in particular U.S. Code Title 18, Chapter 115, Section 2384 which makes it a crime when “two or more persons … conspire to overthrow, put down, or to destroy by force the Government of the United States … or to oppose by force the authority thereof, or by force to prevent, hinder, or delay the execution of any law of the United States, or by force to seize, take, or possess any property of the United States contrary to the authority thereof.”

During floor debate following the deadly attack on the “People’s House,” GOP speakers were quick to point out they were doing nothing more than their Democratic counterparts in 2000, 2004 and 2016.  True, if you believe telling your spouse he or she has not put on weight is the same as telling 365 million people an international pandemic will magically go away.  Or that 60+ judges, governors, election officials and state legislators of all partisan backgrounds are part of a six state cabal to steal an election.

In 2000 and 2004, objections involved one state each time, Florida and Ohio respectively.  In 2016 the issue was Russian interference in the election. In each case, the objections were raise by one or two lone voices, not a majority of the Democratic caucus. And in all three instances, the Democratic nominee conceded the election.  And none of the challengers invited supporters to come to Washington, D.C. and halt the constitutionally mandated process of counting state-certified slates of electors.

There is one more reason I never accepted Trump as MY president.  Recognition is a two-way street.  As I wrote on December 19, 2016, I acknowledged his constitutional right to sit at the Resolute Desk, but maintained my right not to support the substance of or his approach to governance when he suggested people like me were not real Americans.  At a “victory rally” in Mobile, Alabama two days earlier Trump told the crowd, those who rejected his candidacy were not patriots nor did they really love America.  Donald Trump had the same right to accurately claim I was not ONE of HIS people, but not that I no longer qualified as AN American as a result.

For the learning impaired let me put it this way.  When I look at a banana, I admit it is a fruit, just not MY kind of fruit.  I have to accept the fact it is a banana based on its physical characteristics and the process by which it became a banana.  But I am entitled to my own opinion whether to make one part of my diet.

I have no doubt one of the consequences cable news and on-line outlets will face in coming days is the dilemma when they do not have the benefit of breaking news from the White House multiple times a day.  News media of all stripes will be looking to fill airtime with insights about the state of the nation and citizen attitudes.  There will be occasions when correspondents will ask die-hard Trump voters how they feel about Joe Biden’s performance in office.  In many cases, the response may be, “He’s not MY president.”  How refreshing it would be if the reporter followed up, “I understand.  That’s your prerogative.  But do you recognize him as THE president.”  If the answer is, “No,” will that same reporter then ask, “Then do you believe in democracy and the Constitution?”

As the most trusted man in America Walter Cronkite used to say, “And that’s the way it is.  January 23, 2021.”

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP

 

Let’s Roll

 

It took 207 years.  That is the span of time between the last breach of the U.S. Capitol by the British in 1814 until yesterday.  For the record, that includes the War Between the States, two world wars and September 11, 2001.  Including yesterday’s assault, this was twice within less than 20 years.  In one case, the building suffered absolutely no damage.  In the other, windows were broken, doors were forced open and offices were trashed.

What was the difference?  Structural barriers? NO!  Better intelligence prior to the attacks?  NO!  Law enforcement response time?  NO! The difference were the individuals associated with these events and their understanding of their responsibility as citizens and guardians of American democracy.  That difference can be summed up in two words and two pictures.

Todd Beamer High School - Federal Way, WAOn September 11, 2001, 40 individuals aboard United Flight #93, after becoming aware of the attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon, decided they had to stop any further incursion.  At the time, they did not know the intended target was the U.S. Capitol, but were convinced it was one other major symbol of America that would be next.  With that knowledge, 33 year-old Flint, Michigan native Todd Beamer gave the command, “Let’s roll.”  Beamer and his fellow passengers will forever be remembered as heroes.  A high school in Federal Way, Washington bears his name and is dedicated as a perpetual reminder of the bravery and sacrifice of those who chose country over self.

Different pictures should forever come to mind every January 6th to remind us how seriously (or not) some take their oath of office to “support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic…”  There is one of Donald Trump asking his lemmings to march with him to the Capitol to disrupt the counting of electoral votes sealing Joe Biden’s election as the next president.  (NOTE: Of course, Trump did not march with them.  He took shelter in the White House to watch the proceedings on television.  Maybe the bone spurs were acting up again.)  There is one of Cult 45 consigliere Rudy Giuliani calling for “trial by combat.”  But the one that best captures the difference between heroes and villains is the photo of Missouri Senator Josh Hawley arriving at the Capitol to perpetuate the lies and debunked conspiracy theories the 2020 election was fraudulent.

MO Sen. Josh Hawley to blame for mob, Capitol coup attempt | The Kansas City StarHawley turns to the crowd, raises his left fist and might as well have said, “Let’s roll.”  Except this time, the Senator was urging the passengers on Trump Flight #45 to take command of the plane and make sure it struck its target.  After the damage was done, did Hawley admit he may have crossed the line between personal interests and his oath of office?  Did he at least try to de-escalate the tension by telling those he urged on just hours before, “I’m with you, but this is not the way to do it.”  No!  Instead he took to the floor during a joint session of Congress and again affirmed, despite all evidence to the contrary, the insurgents’ “cause was just.”  You know, the same rationale others have used to pass Jim Crow legislation, enforce school segregation, deny black citizens the right to vote and honor generals who led armed troops against the United States with statues and by attaching their names to military bases, schools and other public buildings.

At the same time, Hawley’s campaign sent his supporters a fundraising email in which he said, “But this is not about me! It is about the people I serve, and it is about ensuring confidence in our elections.”  Funny, in the course of getting a Ph.D. in political science, I never came across the law or court case that explained how a Missouri senator represents voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.  You learn something new every day in Trump world.

If and when some misguided Missouri school district recommends a high school be named in honor of Senator Hawley, the trustees should re-read the editorial in this morning’s Kansas City Star.

No one other than President Donald Trump himself is more responsible for Wednesday’s coup attempt at the U.S. Capitol than one Joshua David Hawley, the 41-year-old junior senator from Missouri, who put out a fundraising appeal while the siege was underway.

Hawley was first to say that he would oppose the certification of Joe Biden’s Electoral College win. That action, motivated by ambition, set off much that followed — the rush of his fellow presidential aspirant Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and other members of the Sedition Caucus to put a show of loyalty to the president above all else.

But equally important, the school board members need to be shown the above picture of Hawley next to the one below.

People - Flight 93 National Memorial (U.S. National Park Service)

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP

 

How Donald Trump Saved America

 

I have been wrong about a lot of things over the last five years.  I believed Donald Trump would eventually cross a line over which other elected Republican officials would not sacrifice their own futures.  WRONG!  I thought Democrats would maintain their huge majority in the House of Representatives and retake the Senate with at least 52 Democratic seats this year.  WRONG!

However, on one thing I was right.  Every time someone told me they were worried voter suppression would result in a second Trump term, I replied, “People will walk through fire to vote this year.  If nothing else, 2016 proved elections matter.”  And vote they did, for both candidates.  2020 was just one more example of the adage, “People do not realize how precious something is until it is taken away.”  In this case, they only needed someone to try and take it away.

And without meaning to, the first president of the United States who openly advocated a coup d’etat saved American democracy by intervening in the natural order of things.  As mentioned in previous blog entries, the United States is living on borrowed time according to Alexis de Tocqueville, who, based on history, theorized the average life of a great civilization was 200 years.  Pushing 244 years since declaring its independence, America is playing with house money.

But closer examination suggests de Tocqueville’s prediction, though delayed, was still highly probable, if not already underway.  The fact our national downfall was happening at a slower than average pace also meant it was more incremental and not as apparent.  America had become the proverbial frog in a kettle of water rising in temperature little by little, not realizing it would soon die having boiled to death.

Alexander Fraser Tyler, Cycle Of Democracy (1770) | CITIZENS MAGAZINEScottish philosopher Alexander Fraser Tyler developed the paradigm by which the destructive heat which dooms civilizations rises incrementally over time.  His description of the rise and fall of geopolitical societies consists of the following eight stages.

From bondage to spiritual growth.
From spiritual growth to great courage.
From great courage to liberty.
From liberty to abundance.
From abundance to complacency.
From complacency to apathy.
From apathy to dependence.
From dependence back to bondage.

By no means is the time period between each stage to the next equal in length.  In the case of the United States, one can argue the first four stages lasted three and a half centuries spanning from the arrival of the Mayflower to the post-World War II era, ending in the mid-1960s at the juncture of the Great Society and the Vietnam War.  The only argument I might have with Tyler is the description of stage five, substituting “arrogance” for “complacency.”  Was it not a feeling of infallibility which seeded missteps in international events such as Vietnam, 9/11 and the second Iraq war?

This period of complacency/arrogance quickly led to apathy, characterized by the decline in interest in government and politics most evident in the constant decrease in percentage of Americans who exercised their right to vote.  Until finally, in 2016, enough voters to carry the electoral college, turned to a candidate who claimed, “Only I can fix it.”  The very definition of dependency revolves around the notion of reliance on others who tell you to stand down.  They will handle everything for you.

Which brings me back to the title of this post.  Donald Trump, by turning up the temperate so high, so abruptly, alerted the frogs in the kettle to what was happening.  They recognized the danger they were in and committed to do whatever it required to change the all but certain outcome.  Trump may brag about the 74 million voters who cast ballots for him, but more importantly, he awakened more than 81 million American who declared, “America is not ready to give up on democracy.  Not on our watch.”

The only remaining question?  Having come so close to stage eight of the cycle, from dependence to bondage, has America been given a second chance to start over at stage one, advancing from near-bondage to spiritual growth? Based on the 2020 outcome, when Americans turned to a candidate who made the centerpiece of his campaign “a fight for the soul of the Nation,” a spiritual mantra even an agnostic can believe in, perhaps there is a chance.  And for that, we owe Donald Trump.  Without him, politics in America over the last five years would have been business as usual, most likely in an incrementally advancing direction which, in time, would have proved the validity of both de Tocqueville’s and Tyler’s predictions about the path the United States otherwise might have taken.

The media keep referring to America as more divided than any time since the War Between the States.  To continue the analogy, the structure on the West Capitol steps will become the modern equivalent of Appomattox on January 20th.  And the Biden administration will be responsible for the next Reconstruction.  To avoid the mistakes and lingering animosity of bringing a nation back together for the second time will take spiritual growth and courage by both sides.

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP