Category Archives: Sports

Augusta Caesar

Image result for cbs tiger has never come back to win a majorAt approximately 2:30 p.m. EDT yesterday, everyone stopped talking about Trump or the 3,000 announced candidates for the Democratic nomination.  It was all about Tiger.  After what many, including Tiger, believed were career ending back surgeries less than two years ago, Woods restarted his quest to match or surpass Jack Nicklaus’ 18 majors (now at 15) and Sam Snead’s 82 PGA victories (81 for Tiger).

With the live coverage and post-tournament recaps, one would think the media had said everything there was to say about this event.  Except for one.  CBS, earlier in the day, flashed a chryon noting Tiger had never won a major tournament when he did not lead at the end of day three.  The fact he did this for the first time in his 22 year pro career got lost in the hoopla about his comeback from personal and medical issues which had derailed his quest for major championships for almost 11 years.

It brings to mind Yogi Berra’s infamous assessment of his sport, “Baseball is 90 percent mental.  The other half is physical.”  No doubt, Tiger’s victory is a miracle of modern medicine.  Kudos to his doctors and trainers for finding a path to recovery.  But more than baseball, golf is an exercise in mental acuity.  There was something equally important going on in his head.  And without that cerebral component, it would have been just one more April at Augusta National.

So let me play amateur psychologist for a moment.  Until Tiger’s ex-wife Elin introduced the rear window of his SUV to a five iron, Woods was on top of the world.  He did not know what it meant to have to come from behind to win a major golf tournament.  On those rare occasions when he was in striking distance going into the final round, it was alien to him.  If he expected his challengers to fold as they often did when he was in charge, he was mistaken.  Even when  it looked like he might make his move, he did not.  It was not in his DNA.

Until January 2018.  His return to the PGA tour was a disaster.  Some of his most avid fans such as ESPN’s Mike Wilbon and Tony Kornheiser questioned whether the comeback attempt was a mistake.  Tiger was no longer on top, and more importantly the intimidation factor which spooked his opponents for over a decade was gone.  Not only did he need to get his health back.  He needed a new mindset.

For 65 holes this past week, nothing seemed to have changed.  Francesco Molinari beat back Tiger’s every attempt to catch him.  Announcers Jim Nance and Nick Faldo marveled at Molinari’s composure.  And then came  #12, the short par three which has swallowed up more than its share of championship hopes.  The Italian’s double bogey gave Tiger a share of the lead.  How did the four-time Masters winner respond?  Birdies on #13, #15 and #16 which game him an insurmountable two-stroke lead.

As it turned out when Tiger bogeyed the final hole, several players could have still forced a playoff with their own birdies on #17 or #18.  But Tiger was once again in their heads.  They now believed, even if they had come within reach, Woods would respond.  This was not the old Tiger who grabbed a lead early and held off any comers.  This was a new Tiger who now understands he does not always have to be on top to win in the end.

In other words, he saw; he came back, he conquered.

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP

 

Repeal and RePLATE

 

Related imageForget the vernal equinox.  At approximately 1:05 pm, today was supposed to be the official beginning of spring.  That was when someone other than the current occupant of the White House  would have thrown out the first pitch when the Washington Nationals were scheduled to host the New York Mets on opening day of the 2019 baseball season.  Sadly, there will be no national pastime this year.

Mick Mulvaney, who Donald Trump appointed as commissioner of Major League Baseball (MLB) by declaring the Official Baseball Rules/2019 Edition which governs the sport does not apply to a sitting president, announced there would be no games until the Supreme Court determined whether the lack of consensus on a designated hitter was grounds for abolishing the sport in its entirety.  [NOTE: During oral arguments, Justice Brett Kavanaugh asked attorneys representing the commissioner if, despite the fact there were no games, the beer concessions would still be open for business.]

When asked how he could explain his decision to the 70 million people who attended MLB games in 2018, Mulvaney responded, “Just because some people have a pre-existing affinity for professional baseball, they are not entitled to games for the rest of their lives.  There are other cheaper options.  College.  High school.  Intramural.  Sandlot.  And if you still want to watch top quality baseball, you can hire your own players and build your own field like that farmer in Dyersville, Iowa.”

Trump immediately backed Mulvaney’s decision and promised he and the GOP would bring baseball back.  “The Republican Party will soon be known as the party of baseball.  If the Supreme Court rules traditional baseball is out, we’ll have a plan that is far better than the MLB.”  In an interview with the Washington Post, Trump promised, “We’re going to have baseball for everybody.  There was a philosophy in some circles that if you can’t pay for it, you don’t get it.  That’s not going to happen.”  However, an analysis by the non-partisan CBO (Credible Baseball Office) of the GOP’s draft of the Baseball Care Act of 2019 stated 14 million fans would immediately lose access to professional baseball.

Public opinion polling, immediately following Mulvaney’s announcement, suggests the commissioner’s actions have had the opposite of their intended effect.  In recent years, there had been a precipitous decline in the sport’s popularity.  Forbes reported 2018 attendance at games had dropped four percent over the previous year.  Even Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell questioned the political wisdom of shutting down ballparks, especially when it was revealed the most impacted cities include Detroit, Milwaukee, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh.  One Phillies fan was completely distraught.  “We finally get a superstar like Bryce Harper and I won’t get to see him.  My family can’t afford to go see the Eagles, Sixers or Flyers.  This was the only sports option we could afford.”

EPILOGUE

On January 21, 2021, President Not-Trump signed into law HR1, amendments to the Affordable Baseball Act.  Both leagues now have designated hitters.  Four cities in the South and Midwest were awarded expansion teams, a provision in the bill championed by the newly elected Democratic senators from Iowa, Nebraska, Tennessee and Mississippi.  And the CBO estimates that more people will have access to professional baseball than ever before.

Oh, and President Not-Trump ordered the release of the un-redacted Mueller Report.

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP

 

Bowled Over

I’m sure you are familiar with the “butterfly effect,” which in chaos theory refers to “the phenomenon whereby a minute localized change in a complex system can have large effects elsewhere.” (Dictionary.com)  No system has become more complex than the college bowl season.  What began as four football games on New Year’s Day, now consists of 39 contests beginning in mid-December and ending in early January.

No one would call Hurricane Florence “a minute localized change.”  It devastated the Carolinas and parts of Virginia.  As a result, East Carolina University decided not to travel to Blacksburg, Virginia for its scheduled September 15 football game against the Virginia Tech Hokies.  Likewise Marshall University’s game the same day against the University of South Carolina was cancelled.  Knowing it might need that 12th regular season game to qualify for a bowl, Tech athletic director Whit Babcock proposed a make-up game between his squad and Marshall.  A 41-20 victory on December 1 ensured Tech of a post-season engagement.

The Tech win over Marshall was a continuation of the chaos which began at 1:51 of the fourth quarter of the Virginia/Virginia Tech game on November 23rd.  At that point, the ESPN win probability meter gave Virginia an 82.9 percent chance of victory.  The Hokies tied the game at 31 points apiece and won in the first overtime when the Cavaliers fumbled following a Tech field goal.  Final score: 34-31 Tech.  The Hokies now had five wins and were still short of a sixth to make them bowl eligible for the 23rd year in a row.  The last minute scheduling of the Tech/Marshall game would give the Hokies one last chance to secure a bowl bid.  Yesterday, Tech accepted an invitation to play the Cincinnati Bearcats  in the Military Bowl in Annapolis, Maryland on December 31.

Which set off the following domino effect when you have 82 bowl eligible teams and only 78 bowl opportunities.

  • A week earlier, Cincinnati was projected to play either Duke or Georgia Tech in the Military Bowl.
  • Once Virginia Tech filled the ACC slot, Duke was invited to the Independence Bowl in Shreveport, Louisiana and Georgia Tech accepted a bid to the Quick Lane (can anyone sponsor a bowl game now?) Bowl in Detroit.
  • The Yellow Jackets bumped Northern Illinois, the Mid-American Conference Champions, taking Buffalo’s projected spot in the Ceribundi Tart Cherry (??) Boca Raton Bowl.
  • There was only one slot left for two MAC Conference bowl eligible teams: Miami and Toledo. With Toledo’s 7-5 season record compared to the Redhawks 6-6, the Makers Wanted (???) Bahamas Bowl committee made the only logical decision, inviting the Rockets.

Related imageThus, any Redhawks’ hopes of basking on Bahamian beaches over winter break vanished in an Oxford minute.

I know.  You’re probably asking yourself, with everything going on in the world, why is Dr. ESP so obsessed with this story.  Simple.  There is a personal connection to two academic institutions involved in this melodrama.  My undergraduate degree is from UVA.  And I was a member of the Miami University faculty for nine years before retiring to Florida.  My wife and I were looking forward to attending the Bahamas Bowl to cheer on the Redhawks, and reconnecting with some former colleagues.  Did some cosmic force emanate from the my minor role in this drama?  Perhaps.  Maybe I should start signing my blog “Dr. Butterfly!”

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP

 

Two Bitcoin Whores

As bitcoin continued its downward slide Tuesday, U.S. regulators are reportedly looking into whether its record-breaking rally last year was the result of market manipulation.

~Kate Rooney, CNBC.COM

What a difference a year makes.  On December 17, 2017, Fortune Magazine writer David Morris reported:

The price of one bitcoin (BTC) reached a new all-time high of $19,783.06 early Sunday before dropping back below $19,500, according to Coindesk’s price index.

As of this writing, bitcoin’s price has risen more than 5% in 24 hours, and is up 1,824% since Jan. 1 of this year, when a single Bitcoin could be had for just under $1,000.

Funny how this precipitous increase in the value of a digital currency which operates independent of any central bank and is not backed up by any material asset such as gold or silver did not catch the attention of regulators on its way up.  Imagine, the same individuals who celebrate the virtues of a free market when they are making millions, if not billions of dollars, on pure speculation now are hopeful government regulators will step him and save their inflated earnings.  The message?  While business is great in the financial prostitution business, leave us alone.  But once the shine comes off of this substitute for real earnings, “HELP!”

Sound familiar?  Was it not 10 short years ago when  banks and hedge funds made a similar bet on mortgage backed securities and Wall Street brokers supposedly spread the risk across global markets with unsecured financial instruments like derivatives and insurance schemes like credit default swaps?  And how did the crisis get resolved?  With a $700 billion bailout of the secondary mortgage market funded by U.S. taxpayers, many of whom lost their homes when the housing bubble burst.  And how many perpetrators of these schemes forfeited the assets they accrued while gaming the system or went to jail for fraud and malpractice?  ZERO.

Related imagePerhaps its time former Major League Baseball (MLB) commissioner Bud Selig becomes chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Selig oversaw what can only be described as the sports equivalent of a looming financial disaster with the increased use of performance enhancing drugs by MLB players.

Much as the value of derivatives and bitcoins were unnaturally inflated, the number of players breaking records for home runs and power hitting was artificially high.  In 2006, there was an equally worrisome increase in PED use among pitchers.  MLB banned the use of performance enhancing drugs in 1991, but relied on an honor system without mandated testing.  In other words, when it came to steroids in baseball, “self-regulaton” was the order of the day.  However, as more and more players achieved unprecedented “success,” the guardians of the game realized something was not kosher.

Therefore, in 2003, the league introduced mandatory testing with a minimum 10 game suspension.  Between 2003 and 2014, 49 players were suspended ranging from the minimum to 162 games (the entire 2014 season) for Yankee shortstop Alex Rodriguez.  In March 2014, MLB adopted mandatory suspensions–80 games for the first offense, a full season for the second and a lifetime ban for the third.  To date, Mets pitcher Jenrry Meija is the only player to receive the lifetime ban though he is eligible to apply for reinstatement two years after the ban was imposed.

Is the steroid era for bitcoins over?  This morning the price of bitcoins opened at 4,253 U.S. dollars, a loss of more than 78 percent of their December 2017 value.  As with the Baseball Hall of Fame, maybe anyone who made the Forbes 400 list of wealthiest American based on subprime loan manipulation or by virtue of investments in bitcoins should have an asterisk next to their names. Or legalize their activity and relocate them to isolated facilities in rural Nevada counties.  Managers will still need college degrees.  Perhaps university departments of finance should start offering specialty MFBAs (Masters of Financial Brothel Administration).

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP

Murderers Row

Related imageDuring Tuesday night’s coverage of the Yankees/Red Sox baseball game, the post-game analysts wondered how the potential acquisition of free agent Bryce Harper would change the Yankee’s future championship fortunes (which for 2018, had just ended with a 4-3 loss to Boston). One panelist compared the addition of Harper to the current roster as approaching the 1927 lineup known as “murderers row,” led by Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig.

While I cannot predict the impact of one more pinstriped superstar on the “Bronx Bombers,” they will have to compete with a new lineup of deadly opponents for whom the pseudonym “murderers row” is a literal description.  Since taking office, it is no secret Donald Trump prefers the company of world leaders who demonstrate the common trait of making their opponents mysteriously disappear.

Let’s look at the starting line-up.

  • Leading off is Trump’s new BFF Kim Jung Un.  Since taking power in North Korea, Kim has ordered the execution of numerous relatives and government officials to solidify his power.  These include Hyon Yong-choi (Minister of the People’s Armed Forces), Choe Yong-gon (Deputy Minister of Construction and Building Materials) and his uncle Kim Yong Jin (Minister of Education).
  • In the second position is Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte, who admits he has been preparing for his major league career from an early age.  At a November, 2017 meeting of the Asian-Pacific Economic Council, Duterte told participants, “When I was a teenager I was in and out of jail…During a fight.  Stabbing. That was when I was 16 years old, just because we looked at each other.”
  • Traditionally, the third spot is reserved for the batter with the highest batting average, not necessarily the most home runs.  No one fits this bill better than Chinese President Xi Jinping.  Rather than murder journalists, Xi has earned his MVP bona fides by winning the title of “world’s worst jailer of journalists” for two years in a row.
  • In the clean-up spot is Trump perennial go to player Vladimir Putin.  Just this week, the Kremlin denied any involvement in the murder of three Russian journalists last July in the Central African Republic (CAR).  The trio had been investigating Russian arms sales to the CAR government.  The number of Putin opponents and Russian reporters who have died or disappeared just since Trump took office is now approaching 20.

But this has not kept Trump from scouting more free agents to reinforce his line-up.

Last week Washington Post columnist and Saudi dissident Jamal Khashoggi was photographed entering the Saudi embassy in Istanbul, Turkey.  Intelligence reports including intercepted communications suggest within two hours of his arrival, Khashoggi was murdered and his body was dismembered.  Although Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) has denied the allegations, intelligence sources say the execution was ordered at the highest levels of the Saudi government. Was the recent USA sale of $1.4 billion in military equipment to Saudi Arabia the Crown Prince’s signing bonus?

You can constantly tell a child not to stick objects in an electrical outlet.  But if the socket is broken, there are no consequences and no ensuing change in behavior.  In days past, the  occupant of the Oval Office was the moral equivalent of the shock which signaled behavior such as that associated with the Trump All-Stars was both unacceptable and potentially dangerous.  Sadly, the outlet is broken with no electrician on call to fix it.

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP